In his first major speech President Jaco Zuma on Wednesday said
that South Africa must act now to minimise the impact of the global
financial crisis on the poor but still has to spend wisely. Yes
this might be true but easier said than done. Housing, having your
own property, currently stays a problem. Where is it all
going to end? The million rand question, who is to be believed?
Things
are definitely looking up in the residential property market, with
a number of factors combining now to give consumers their confidence
back. This according to Chas Everitts CEO, Berry
Everitt. The first of these, of course, is the series of
rate cuts since December that has brought significant relief to
those with home loans to pay off - and helped many people
to keep their homes. The second is the fact that the banks are much
more approachable than they were in previous economic downturns
and are really making great efforts to assist homeowners
who are still in financial distress and in default on their home
loan installments. They are offering several different options to
help these owners avoid having their properties repossessed.
The third factor is the re-emergence of serious buyers and investors
who perceive that the market is primed for an upturn and that prices
are not likely to get much lower than they are now.
Many of these buyers have significant cash resources and are
not looking for 100% bonds - and at the same time we are seeing
the banks become somewhat more flexible on their deposit requirements
anyway, so the bond approval rate is starting to rise.
And this of course means more successful sales, which combined
with rising economic confidence as we go into the final phase of
preparations for the 2010 Soccer World Cup, bodes very well for
the coming summer.
Theres a wintry chill blowing through SAs residential
property data. Generally, prices will keep falling, perhaps
until the end of this year. However, despite the hammering property
has been given globally and locally, the SA house market
has shown itself to be amazingly resilient, with an expected 10%
to 15% peak-to-trough fall far milder than that of many other countries.
Pam Golding Properties executive director Ronald Ennik sticks to
his forecast of a 10% fall in 2009.
Seeff chairman
Samuel Seeff reckons that by the end of 2009 the national average
price will be as much as 15% down from its 2007 peak. No
winter warmth here
With South
Africa officially now in recession, conditions in the South
African economy are hampering the pace of residential demand
growth despite a series of interest rate cuts having already
taken place," FNB property strategist John Loos said. Home
values still falling
South Africa is
unlikely to see another residential property boom in
the foreseeable future and a full-scale revival in residential
property is probably two to three years off, says Bill
Rawson, Chairman of Rawson Properties but, he adds, the
turnaround point and the beginning of the upswing have already
been reached and several encouraging signs are now already evident.
Bill Rawson still sees signs for hope
Despite the fact
that the economy is now in recession - or perhaps because it
is the residential property market is currently
in a rare state of perfect equilibrium. So says Lew Geffen,
chairman of Sothebys International Realty in SA, who notes
that financially capable homebuyers who were simply not
interested last year are now coming out of hiding as they
perceive the market to be at or near the bottom of its cycle
and set for an upturn. With buyers still very cautious
and cagey, sellers should definitely not read this interest
rate decrease or the next one as a signal to raise
their asking prices. They should rather take the opportunity
to conclude a deal more easily and move on to their next home
at an advantageous price. Market now perfectly
balanced, says Geffen
It is a year ago that Mr. Geffens, in a company memo to his
agents, warned that the property market was even worse than
the banks have been suggested. Who can still remember the shock
waves this memo created in the property industry? Was he
right?
South Africans face other economic challenges with the result that
the cut in the interest rates is to have a mute effect on the property
market. Do you agree? Send your viewpoint to news@cyberprop.com
>> Real Estate news USA - Calling the
bottom of the property market?
After
several hard years that have seen property sales volumes dramatically
curbed and residential prices falling more-or-less back to 2002 levels,
US newspapers are increasingly reporting speculation that the end of the
bust period may be nigh. USA Today recently reported that more repeat
buyers appear to be snapping up homes, "contributing to a slight
uptick in existing home-sales" in the last quarter. "The majority
of buyers are now repeat buyers, which includes owner-occupants who are
moving up to larger or more expensive homes. Investors make up the rest
of the market," it says...
>> No winter warmth here
Theres
a wintry chill blowing through SAs residential property data. Generally,
prices will keep falling, perhaps until the end of this year. However,
despite the hammering property has been given globally and locally, the
SA house market has shown itself to be amazingly resilient, with an expected
10% to 15% peak-to-trough fall far milder than that of many other countries...
>> Home values still falling
The
build up of a substantial oversupply of residential housing stock is sustaining
the drop in home values experienced of late, FNB said on Monday.
Its latest house price index continued to decline in May to -11.3 percent
year-on-year, it said in a statement.
This represented a deterioration on the revised -9.2 percent rate of
year-on-year decline recorded for April...
>> Interest rate cuts may not prompt swift recovery
THE downward trend in interest rates, which are at 2006 levels,
is expected to have a muted effect on the property market as a result
of economic challenges.
The Reserve Banks decision to cut interest rates by one percentage
point, reducing the Banks prime lending rate from 12% to 11%, brings
the total interest rate reduction since the first rate cut in December
to 4,5 percentage points...
>> Weak property market set to continue
Standard Bank's median house price index decreased by 4.1% y/y in May.
There is no light at the end of the tunnel for house prices and property
market weakness is set to continue, Standard Bank said on Tuesday as it
released house price data.
Standard Bank's median house price index decreased by 4.1% year-on-year
in May, following average declines of 2.7% year-on-year in the first four
months of the year...
>> Bill Rawson still sees signs for hope
South
Africa is unlikely to see another residential property boom in the foreseeable
future and a full-scale revival in residential property is probably two
to three years off, says Bill Rawson, Chairman of Rawson Properties
but, he adds, the turnaround point and the beginning of the upswing have
already been reached and several encouraging signs are now already evident...
>> Market now perfectly balanced, says Geffen
Despite
the fact that the economy is now in recession - or perhaps because it
is the residential property market is currently in a rare state
of perfect equilibrium.
So says Lew Geffen, chairman of Sothebys International Realty in
SA, who notes that financially capable homebuyers who were simply not
interested last year are now coming out of hiding as they perceive
the market to be at or near the bottom of its cycle and set for an upturn...
>> No deposit required!
Banks
have recently gone from offering 108 percent bonds to requiring that you
have anything from a 10 percent to a 30 percent deposit and that you fund
all costs related to acquiring the property from your own pocket.
On a purchase of a R1-million, with a 10 percent deposit, this translates
to having approximately R150 000 available. This is with a 10 percent
deposit; heaven help you if the bank insists on a larger deposit...
>> Living in Gauteng? If yes, you can support the Chas Everitt
Home Makeover 2009
CHAS EVERITT INTERNATIONAL ICE SKATING CHARITY EVENING
Please join Chas Everitt for a day of ice-skating fun
at the Northgate Ice Rink
on the 13th of June 2009 at 17h30
For only R90.00 per person, you will receive a meal, drink, entrance
& ice-skate rental!
All proceeds will go to the Chas Everitt Home Makeover for
Die Kinderhuis Orphanage in Durbanville, Cape Town
Please bring your kids and family and help us make a difference
RSVP Michelle Bester 011 801 2500 (michelleb@everitt.co.za)
By the 6th June 2009
(no charge for under 2s)
>> Cape Town's established Southern Suburbs still considered
blue chip by most investors, says Vineyard Estates CEO
While he is absolutely convinced that
despite lower interest rates and other favourable signs, the Cape property
market still has half a year to go before it is in a real upturn phase,
those who say it is lacking in life simply do not know what is in fact
happening out there, says Anton du Plessis, CEO of Vineyard
Estates, which is headquartered in Claremont, opposite Arderne Gardens,
and focuses on a relatively small area: Upper Claremont, Kenilworth, Bishopscourt,
Rondebosch, Newlands and Upper Constantia...
>> Entry-level homebuyers flock to Midrand
The entry-level sector of Midrands property market is experiencing
a spate of activity, with demand outstripping supply.
So says Beulah Thomas, principal of local leading agency Homenet/ Harcourts
Midrand, who says much of the activity is stemming from buyers seeking
to upgrade from the surrounding townships, particularly Thembisa...
>> Claim-free land draws buyers to Upington
Demand for farmland is underpinning the property
market in Upington.
Frikkie Truter and Boetie Bill van Dyk, new owners of the local Aida
franchise, say demand for residential units in town, as well as for commercial
and industrial property has flattened but that farmers who have sold farms
elsewhere due to land claims are increasingly resettling on farms around
Upington...
>> Fewer agents: industry set for lasting change
The
drop of more than 50% in the number of registered estate agents in South
Africa is likely to change the face of the industry dramatically
and permanently.
In reaction to the news that the number of agents has dropped from about
80 000 in 2007 to about 38 000 currently, Dr Willie Marais, national president
of the Institute of Estate Agents (IEASA), says it is unlikely that the
number will materially increase in future, even when the economic climate
improves...
>> Distressed sales: Choose the right agent
Tough
economic conditions are pushing consumers with large debt loads to the
wall but quick action to deal with mounting debts can save substantial
sums of money and even prevent sequestration.
Berry Everitt, CEO of the Chas Everitt International property group,
says homeowners who cannot service their home loans are advised to be
proactive and to try to manage the process of getting out of debt rather
than to stick their heads in the sand and hope that problems will resolve
themselves...
>> SASSI Expands in a big way - Info Gauteng
South African Self Storage Investments (SASSI) announced this week that
they have broken ground for, and are going ahead with, a fifth new facility
(with 450 plus self storage units), this time on the West Rand of Johannesburg
alongside the busy N14 highway. The store will be nestled within the Cradle
City precinct and only minutes away from Lanseria Airport and will form
part of the Stor-Age brand of self storage facilities...
>> News from ERA / Benefits for property in high-speed broadband
The advent of faster, cheaper broadband services to South
Africa when it is connected to the world via the Seacom undersea cable
will undoubtedly benefit the property market.
So says Gerhard Kotzé, CEO of the ERA South Africa
property group, who notes that South Africans are only just beginning
to grasp how far-reaching the impact of the coming communications revolution
will be...
>> In the area...
The areas we are going to take a closer look at this week
are;
Blouberg
Shelley Point
Claremont
>> In the area 1 Blouberg
The
economic downturn has seen a shift in property trends
Blouberg, an area in the Cape renowned for its great views of Table Mountain
and still relatively affordable property, seems to be chartering a course
towards the top rung of the property ladder.
Taking a closer look at the property market, Fanie Lategan, principal
of Chas Everitt Western Seaboard, says that while sales are down on last
year, the market is still buoyant compared to other areas of Cape Town.
The challenge, he says, lies with the banks strict
credit policies meaning only about one third of home loan applications
are approved...
>> In the area 2 Shelley Point
Shelley
Points property responds to buy-in by Mauritian group
The move by Mauritian based Dale Capital Partners to purchase
and manage the country club, hotel and spa at Shelley Point, has
given a huge boost to property throughout the 149ha estate, says Gert
Joubert, Shelley Points developer...
>> In the area 3 Claremont
THE
CLAREMONT A RUNAWAY SUCCESS WITH LANDLORDS AND RESIDENTS
Lanice Steward, MD of the Anne Porter Knight Frank real
estate marketing group, says that in all her experience she has seldom,
if ever, come across apartments capable of giving such satisfactory returns
as those of The Claremont on Main Road in the suburb of that
name. What is more, these highly satisfactory returns are, she says, being
achieved on resale prices not just on the original launch prices.
(The project came on stream in December 2006.)
>> Focus on Vanderbijlpark, Gauteng, South Africa
Dr
HJ van der Bijl, a brilliant young scientist working in the United States,
was called back to South Africa in 1920 by Prime Minister Jan Smuts to
advise the government on planning South Africa'a industrial development.
Van der Bijl oversaw the inauguration of the Iron and Steel Corporations's
(ISCOR) first plant at Pretoria in 1934 and, with increased demand, 10
000ha was bought to build a large steelworks and model city for its employees
- Vanderbijlpark...
Last evening I attended my scheme's AGM. Twelve people huddled in a room
for an action-packed 95 minutes going through a year's worth of issues,
breaking some new ground and planning for what we expect to be a better
future - including a managing agent and a planned maintenance programme.
Perhaps the most remarkable thing was that, taking proxies into account,
we had 100% attendance and managed to take two truly unanimous resolutions.
We obviously needed more air!
You can download the May 2009 issue of Paddocks Press by clicking
this link.
In this issue:
Dina Porteous underlines the importance of training in her business;
Jennifer outlines 10 steps to dealing with sectional title conflicts;
I unpack the various parts of the Scheme Management course (and we
include a list of past students - use the 'find' feature to locate your
name);
Rob deals with Condensation in his Building Maintenance series;
I have a new feature - "Mutterings";
Jennifer answers a series of sectional title questions;
We welcome new members to our Paddocks and Getsmarter team; and
We include various in-text and classified adverts
>> Software at its best!
The Property Manager provides you with a very extensive and detailed
list of criteria which you can capture for your property listings and
gives you the control to decide how you would want these properties to
be displayed on the Internet
Manage property for sale and previously sold
Activate or deactivate Internet listings with immediate effect - no
waiting!
Keep track of your On Show and On Special properties and list them
on your website