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Central London residential property, often previously described as one
of the three or four leading performers in the world market, has been
hard hit by the global recession.
Lanice Steward, MD of Anne Porter Knight Frank, which has an association
with Knight Frank, the international property management and sales group,
has drawn attention to the latest Knight Frank review which quotes Liam
Bailey, KFs head of residential research, as saying,
Prices for the best properties in the capital are now almost 20%
below the peak they reached in 2008.
Houses worth over £10 million, said Bailey, are now down only 8,1%
but homes costing £1 million to £2,5 million are down 22%
in value.
Further drops seem likely as the total number of sales for £1 million
plus properties is down by a staggering 49%. Bailey, in fact, estimates
that overall values will fall to 30% below the 2000 level but he
does point out that price declines are now beginning to slow.
What does this mean for South Africans?
It means, said Steward, that the next two to three months will offer
unprecedented opportunities to buy in London, especially as the rand has,
despite misconceptions on this subject, performed very satisfactorily.
The rand stood at R13,6113 to the pound on the 2nd January last
year, said Steward, on 2nd January this year it was at R13,5919
almost exactly the same level as a year ago. Steward was
quoting figures from x-rates.com.
Steward said that she does not expect London property to regain its former
values in a hurry KF estimate that £1 million plus sales
will this year be below 3 000, the lowest turnover in 20 years
but London property, she said, must still be rated as one of the prime
investment avenues in the world and a recovery here, she predicts, will
become evident from the end of this year onwards.

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