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Tito
Mboweni is the first South African Reserve Bank governor to have become
a true celebrity!
Everywhere he appears in public, groupies hang onto his lips, frantic
to know whether there will be another rate-cut or not. The groupies, however,
are atypical. Not lingerie-throwing, screaming teenagers but normal homeowners
paying off their prime-rate linked mortgage bonds. Never before has mortgage
bond finance provided so much fodder for dinner party conversations.
Leading insights and analytics company, Knowledge Factory, in conjunction
with their property data division SAPTG, have just released a study of
mortgage bonds and trends in South Africa.
Their findings make for interesting reading. The research focused on
transactions in the period June 2008 to May 2009. The study included residential
full and sectional title properties in the price band R200 000 to R20-million.
Dieter Deppisch, who heads Knowledge Factorys property data research,
explains:
"The pre-June 2007 days of a relaxed lending environment were distinguished
by largesse. Home buyers, bond originators and banks were happy bed-fellows.
Then the National Credit Act (NCA) created a perception of gloom, causing
widespread fear and a contraction in credit extension. Worse, the winds
of the worldwide recession made landfall shortly afterwards and South
Africas economy began to deteriorate rapidly. Interest rates followed
the upward spike in inflation; banks sat with toxic assets, and quickly
tightened their lending criteria to stem the blood-flow."
2004-2007 bonded property de rigueur
In the period 2004-2007, bonded property transactions were de rigueur.
They reached a peak in the period June 2006-May 2007 with 77.7 percent
of all properties being registered with a bond.
Of these, the largest group (78.5 percent) was sectional titles purchased
in the R200k-R1.5-million price band, with full-titles coming in a close
second (78.2 percent). However, the decline in bonds being registered
began shortly thereafter and has continued unabated to current levels
where only 63.3 percent of properties were registered with a bond in the
2008/2009 period.
The flipside of the statistics above indicates a surprising level of
liquidity amongst current buyers in the real-estate economy.
36.7 percent of properties purchased in the past year were cash deals
(properties transferred with no bond registered). This statistic must,
however, be qualified: Full-title property sales dropped by 40 percent
and sectional title by 44 percent in the period June 2008 to May 2009.
So while the percentage of cash sales is high, it is of a smaller volume
of transactions than we had a few years ago when real-estate was booming.
Property is an increasingly attractive asset class for investors disappointed
by recent poor returns in the equity market and other investment classes
and this has served to boost cash sales.

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