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JHI
CEO Marna van der Walt reports that in the first few weeks of trading
in 2010, the company's industrial brokers have seen a significant upturn
in enquiries for space.
"While this trend has not extended to the office sector, it heralds
a positive signal for the property market. However, this must be realistically
viewed against the backdrop of a constrained retail sector and contraction
in household spending, which directly influences the manufacturing sector.
The proposed electricity price hikes - still much under debate - would
also negatively impact confidence, especially in regard to manufacturing,"
she says.
"On the other hand we are seeing that while banks have to some extent
amended their residential lending criteria, some banks still require up
to 20% deposits from investors entering the commercial market, which is
of concern. However, unlike 2009 when the recession caught many off guard,
this year we perceive a general preparedness to face the challenges ahead.
A further reduced interest rate in the first quarter or first half of
the year would be welcome, particularly if consumer spending remains sluggish,
however indications seem that interest rates may start rising in the last
quarter of the year (2010) which may put a dampener on economic recovery."
Upbeat, but look to providing incentives for tenants
On an upbeat note, van der Walt says that investment opportunities in
the commercial property market do exist, particularly in areas, which
will be positively impacted by infrastructural developments such as the
Gautrain and BRT routes. "The general consensus is that major opportunities
will present themselves in the industrial sector and the recent indication
by the dti to review the policy on industrial development zones may lead
to increased investor incentives. In addition, the infrastructural improvements
in host cities for the World Cup Soccer have added values to these areas,
which can only help boost market sentiment and investor confidence."
She says while the Soccer World Cup will not have an immediate effect
on the commercial property market, a successful tournament will bode well
for the creation of investment opportunities towards the end of the year
and in the following two years because of increased business confidence.
Unfortunately, opportunities for investments in the retail sector will
remain low in the immediate future, as asking prices are still too high.
Van der Walt says investors should look to providing tenants with more
incentives in 2010. "Lower rentals and an increase in tenant installation
allowances are some of the incentives which JHI is recommending that landlords
implement in order to attract and retain tenants. Measures such as energy
saving strategies should also be introduced in order to reduce monthly
operating costs, and such a move would certainly make a building more
appealing for tenants seeking value for money. Investors are also advised
to keep a close eye on tenant arrears and avoid vacancies by considering
rental concessions."

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