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Sales
of luxury properties, so conspicuous by their general absence last year,
have now definitely made a comeback in the Johannesburg market.
Thats the word from Lew Geffen, chairman of Sothebys International
Realty in SA, who says the number of big ticket sales over
R4m made by his Johannesburg offices over the past six months is 21% up
on the number of such properties sold in the first half of last year.
And much of the additional activity has taken place in the past
couple of months, which have seen the especially notable sales of a property
in Bryanston for R50m and another in Sandhurst for R35m.
We have also seen a 45% increase in the total value of luxury properties
sold over the past six months, compared with the same period of 2008,
with the average unit price in this category rising from R5,94m to R7,14m.
Even better news, Geffen says, is that the recent surge in big ticket
sales can mostly be ascribed to those shrewd buyers who are always
the first to see a good opportunity and are comfortable that the market
is currently at or near the bottom and will start to turn upwards within
a few months.
Sales at the top end of the market, he notes, are usually not directly
related to a decline in interest rates such as seen since December, but
rather a function of improving economic sentiment. Many big ticket
purchases are made with cash, so buyers dont really have to worry
about home loan interest rates. They tend to be much more influenced by
an increase in business confidence and medium to long-term economic and
employment prospects that will drive future housing demand.
I have been through five previous recessions in the real estate
business and have seen this type of buyer correctly anticipate the market
recovery every time.
Indeed, he notes, this may already be getting under way in Johannesburg,
with the overall sales volumes being logged by his offices currently 13
percent ahead of the volumes recorded at this time last year, and turnover
up a whopping 58%.
I am not suggesting, of course, that prices across the board will
immediately start rising. The main reason why the market is stabilising
and unit sales increasing is because prices have come down substantially
and buyers are making an effort to get in near the bottom. Sellers who
think the halcyon days are back again are mistaken as prices are likely
to remain at these levels for some time to come.

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