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Absa's senior treasury economist, Chri Hart, told delegates at a seminar
this week that the US growth would slow and that the dollar would weaken.
This will reduce the demand and price pressure on oil prices enforcing
high economic growth coupled with low inflation and will continue supporting
the property boom for at least the next five years.
"This is good news for South Africa as it will help keep inflation
down and allow further easing of interest rates," he said.
Hart was upbeat about the state of the economy and prospects for investors.
"There are many factors which indicate investment conditions in
South Africa are the best they have been for decades. In fact, the SA
economy is on the verge of an investment flood," he said.
"We are about to enter a phase of sustained high-growth with low
inflation. Structural growth is now possible and the recent Barclays/Absa
deal will encourage other global entities to look at concluding similar
deals. This will result in additional huge investment in the financial
sector.
"The country will also see significant growth in terms of infrastructure
expansion, including a second fixed-line telephone network and the preparations
required to stage the Soccer World Cup in 2010."
"The property party is over, but the good news is 'welcome to
the after-party!'
"The ratio of house prices to remuneration is now at its worst
level since 1985 but lower interest rates have eased pressure on the
repayment burden," he said.
"And housing affordability remains well below the worst levels
reached in the 1980 boom."
But Hart did urge investors to exercise caution and do their homework
before rushing in to invest in real estate, noting that property prices
were expected to grow at a much slower rate.
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