|
A
whopping 47 percent of first time buyers and 36 percent of all owners
of property registered at the deeds office in South Africa are black
an increase of 63.4 percent in the past 10 years.
But, says Kura Chihota, Executive Director of the Leapfrog Property
Group, this might be giving the wrong impression of transformation within
the property industry as many of the deals are formalisations of township
leases and activity in rural poor areas, often of an RDP nature.
According to the figures released by Lightstone Risk Managements
tracking services which uses a comprehensive property data base compiled
by the deeds office, the Surveyor General and other sources to generate
data as opposed to the banks which use mortgage lending as the
source the overwhelming percentage of property activity by black
buyers is in townships and the poorest areas.
Interestingly, however, over 10 percent of black homeowners have bought
in estates, about two to four percent in wealthy areas while the remainder
in what its research team calls comfortable areas.
Chihota says Lightstones data shows very low repeat
buyer profiles since 1997 when the first time black buyers came into
the market. Only 27 percent of black consumers have gone on to further
property activity compared with 46 percent of coloured, Asian and white
consumers who are clearly multiple buyers.
He believes the Reserve Banks decision last week not to increase
interest rates could further be a sign that the tide is turning in the
affordability stakes for home owners.
We believe that with wage negotiations settling at the 10 percent
level and the economy starting to get a handle on inflation, there is
pressure on the affordable sub-R750 000 segment and increasing confidence
at the upper levels.
The buyer who was holding on for certainty about rates last weekend,
can now sign that offer to purchase with confidence, he says,
explaining that buyers typically buy at their affordability limit and
if a stable interest rate environment returned the tables might be turning
for would-be home owners.
Chihota believes the negative impact of the high interest rates and
constant negativity in the real estate market has had the effect of
moderating prices to more realistic levels.
No matter what happens in world finance though, people still
need homes to live in and the time to buy at affordable levels could
be now.

|