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Actually, there are plenty of property positives in the Budget
While the response from the real estate industry has generally been
negative, there were quite a few positives for property in this weeks
Budget.
The first of these, says Dr Piet Botha, chairman of the Nationlink
estate agency group, was Finance Minister Trevor Manuels assurance
that inflation will be within the target range of 3 to 6 percent by
the end of this year.
All things being equal, the Reserve Bank will then be able to
lower interest rates which have proved again and again to be
the single most important factor persuading home seekers to buy or not
to buy.
Then there was the news, he says, that government is still budgeting
for a surplus over the next three years, even after having to make a
crisis allocation of more than R60bn to Eskom to help overcome
the energy shortage.
This, combined with the massive R17bn allocation for spending
on roads, water systems and other infrastructure, should significantly
increase business and consumer confidence, which is arguably the second
most important factor influencing property purchasing decisions.
What will have a direct effect on the real estate market, says Botha,
is the allocation of some R53bn over the next three years for the provision
of housing for the poor, and even more exciting is the fact that government
has at last acknowledged it needs to do more to accommodate private
sector employers, developers, builders and landlords who are participating
in the process.
It is to this end that government is to revise the tax incentive
for employers who provide housing for low-income employees, and has
decided to extend the incentives for the development and redevelopment
of affordable inner city housing for the next five years.
Government definitely seems to be laying the groundwork for a
huge increase in the amount of housing stock in just a few years, and
that will mean a corresponding rise in the number of people with direct
access, through their own homes, to the property market.
Meanwhile, Mr Manuel has committed huge resources to skills development,
support for small businesses and job creation which lay at the
heart of this years Budget and such measures should soon
raise the number of people able and keen to participate in the middle-
and upper-income sectors of the property market instead of being restricted
to homes provided by the State.
In short, Botha says, the size of SAs real estate market is set
to double and redouble over the next few years, and while that
might require the traditional players to adapt and operate differently,
the opportunities there will be for wealth creation can hardly be viewed
as a negative.
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