|
The Gulf's rich are beginning to invest in dowdier
places as well
WHEN oil sheikhs splurge in the West, they make headlines: some Qataris,
for example, in partnership with some Britons, recently bought a chunk
of London's fashionable Chelsea for $1.9 billion. They make news, too,
with big-tag items at home, for instance in the two richest statelets
in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), with the world's tallest building
in Dubai or a new Louvre museum in Abu Dhabi. Yet with less fanfare,
Arab oil money may have a bigger impact elsewhere, in poorer countries
outside the Gulf.
Over the past six years, some $700 billion in capital has gushed out
of the monarchies that make up the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC):
Saudi Arabia (by the far the weightiest), Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman
and the UAE. Most of their cash still washes up in America and Europe.
But with returns from rich countries slowing, the flow to less traditional
markets is speeding up. The International Institute of Finance, a think-tank
in Washington, DC, estimates that Asia and the Middle East soaked up
22% of GCC investment between 2002 and 2006: A substantial volume
of GCC funds is staying in the MENA [Middle East and North Africa] region,
where quickening liberalisation, privatisation and regional integration,
as well as an increased pace of project implementation, has lured capital
that would previously have headed away from the Arab world.
Freshly acquired assets range from iron mines in Mauritania, bought
for $375m in November by Qatar Steel, to a Gulf consortium's $1.2 billion
share in an urban-development scheme in southern Malaysia. A planned,
Saudi-financed oil refinery costing $3 billion in Bangladesh will add
to existing Saudi refining interests in China, South Korea and the Philippines.
In recent years, Gulf-based telecoms firms have spent at least $20
billion snapping up businesses from Algeria to Singapore. Gulf portfolio
investment has turned once-sleepy stockmarkets in Cairo, Casablanca
and Amman into some of the world's hottest performers and helped insulate
them from global shocks. Housing prices and exchange rates in troubled
Lebanon have held steady, thanks to Gulf governments parking cash in
the country's central bank and fun-starved Saudis buying sea-front property.
In fact, it is in real estate that Gulf money is making its loudest
splash. Dubai's flagship property company, Emaar, claims to be engaged
in some $65 billion-worth of foreign projects. These include four resorts
in Morocco and upmarket housing projects in Cairo, Damascus, Hyderabad,
Istanbul and Karachi. A rival firm, Damac, recently launched what it
calls a resort city on Egypt's Red Sea coast costing $16 billion, while
another Emirati developer, Al Maabar, has pledged $10 billion to create
a fancy suburb for Tunis. Qatari Diar, the same state-owned company
that jointly bought Chelsea Barracks, is also building office towers
in Cairo and Khartoum, resorts in Syria, Morocco and the Seychelles,
and a gated community in Yemen's capital, Sana'a.
Even if such numbers are inflated by sales hype, Gulf cash and glitz
are beginning to transform the region's dowdier peripheries. For the
burgeoning middle class in staid old cities such as Rabat and Damascus,
the real-estate brochures, with their promise of Dubai-style living
and manor houses that hint of Andalusia and Tuscany, now make an enticing
read.
|