|
Think
we have it tough on the South African property scene right now? Well spare
a thought for our UK counterparts where home prices have fallen about
15%, according to leading mortgage lender Halifax Bank - and the worst
is yet to come.
Thats not to suggest we are without problems of our own.
But the fact is, our prices have fallen comparatively modestly by around
5% in real terms and the general consensus is that we may see a return
to slight growth perhaps as early as the third quarter of this year,
says Gerhard Kotzé, CEO of the ERA South Africa property group,
Clearly the South African property market has weathered the international
credit storm relatively well compared with the blood on the floor
scenario of the UK market right now.
It was evident to one of our people on a visit to the UK recently
that the streets were full of For Sale signs and the local
press was full of tales of woe about the lack of buyers and complaints
that the banks were simply not granting mortgages, but preferring to sit
on the cash injections the government had provided as part of their financial
rescue package.
There were also predictions of rising unemployment, the threat
of negative growth for the first time in decades, and reports that the
pound had fallen by about 25% against the Euro. Pre-Christmas shopping
was characterised by massive price reductions of up to 90% and household
names like Woolworths disappeared off the retail map as the credit crunch
bit.
What is more, says Kotzé, prices for UK property remain inordinately
high by our standards even after the slump. What you pay for a pokey
one-bed one-bath upper and downer there would buy you a large
multi-roomed home in SA and still leave you some change.
And the property market in South Africa is ticking over, if not
spectacularly, then at least steadily in many areas, although there is
no denying that it is a buyers market, volumes are down and the
lead time to a sale is now numbered in months rather than weeks or even
days as it was at the height of the boom four years ago.
|