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All the major metros in SA are showing signs of a property market recovery
and this is likely to start spilling over into smaller centres soon.
Thats the word from Gerhard Kotzé, CEO of the ERA South
Africa property group, based on feedback from the groups offices
countrywide.
Some metros are doing better than others, but theres a consistent
pattern across the board and that bodes well for the market in general,
he says.
Johannesburg, Cape Town, Tshwane, eThekwini and Mandela Bay are
all showing a significant rise in residential demand, an improvement in
confidence levels and greater realism on behalf of sellers in terms of
pricing.
The reasons for this happy scenario are not hard to find and clearly
the positive effects of five percentage points worth of interest rate
cuts since December 2008, are increasingly being felt and reflected in
more property transactions and improved bank lending.
The ERA groups experience corresponds to the findings of the FNB
Property Barometer in the third quarter of last year, which were based
on a survey of estate agents opinions in the various regions.
Kotzé says that looking at the picture region by region, the Johannesburg
area is trailing somewhat in terms of activity levels in the property
market compared with the three major coastal areas surveyed, while Tshwane
has a slightly stronger reading than neighbouring Johannesburg.
However compared with the soft market we have had since the start
of the global meltdown the overall outlook is definitely far more positive
now.
Other pointers to the improving situation, he says are that the percentage
of properties being sold at below asking price has dropped significantly
and that the average time of a property on the market prior to being sold
has fallen to about 3,5 months in eThekwini, four months in Johannesburg,
Cape Town and Mandela Bay and 5,5 months in Tshwane.
Another interesting fact to emerge from our research is that the
percentage of home sellers planning to emigrate has dropped significantly,
and athough its difficult to interpret this definitively, its
probably fair to say the effects of the worldwide recession are discouraging
emigration at this time.
And that also has to be positive for the market in general, particularly
in the light of anecdotal evidence that increasing numbers of skilled
South Africans are actually returning to the country.
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