Many
hundreds of hectares of vacant land at the Cape still have no development
plans because the owners, having possibly paid high for it at the height
of the property boom, are now waiting for a revival in property prices before
once again considering development.
The problem with this delayed strategy, says Bill Rawson, Chairman of
Rawson Properties, is that the dead interest charges will in many cases
make any subsequent development unviable.
Later the landowner may well find himself having to sell, in the process
either making a loss or incurring Capital Gains Tax.
In todays circumstances, says Rawson, it will usually pay to start
discussions as soon as possible with a group (such as his own) which has
development and selling experience and can find ways of getting a scheme
off the ground.
There are opportunities across the length and breadth of Greater
Cape Town, says Rawson, especially now that we can anticipate
drops of up to 2% in the interest rates in 2009. Those will reduce development
costs and make it possible for people once again to start buying homes
especially at the lower end of the market.
Asked to define the phrase lower end, Rawson said that he
is thinking primarily of units which can attract rentals of R2 000 to
R3 000 per month. Such schemes, Rawson Developers and Homebuilders have
found, usually give an initial return of 4 to 7% on the investment
but within a few years become genuinely profitable, at which point they
can, if the owner so wishes, be on-sold to one of the banks, property
holding groups or syndicates, who traditionally prefer projects giving
an adequate return from day one.
This is the type of development people should be seriously considering
right now, said Rawson, especially as the smaller contractors
and most building material prices are dropping fast as order books dry
up.
If you do decide to go this route, why tie up with an independent firm?
Why not go it alone?
Rawson says that it pays every time to take on as a partner a big firm
which has both access to competitive finance and the coalface experience
of selling.
In a difficult market like the present, he said, the
developer has to be able to read the market right.
In the past, he added, many land sellers were just a little too
avaricious, with the result that much of the vacant land held now
is priced well above its current real value but a shrewd developer
will cope with this, he said.
The point that I have to emphasise is that whichever way you juggle
the proposals and the figures, he said, it will usually be
more difficult to make a profit later, if and when conditions improve,
because holding costs will have knocked the scheme out of sight. Going
ahead now (with the appropriate market research) is the right thing to
do especially if your developer has a tested building team with
paid-up plant and the ability to cut costs when he is able to get together
with professionals in the conceptual phase.
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