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South
African house prices fell in March for the first time in eight years,
with the average house price down to R550000 from R570000 in February.
Standard Banks Residential Property Gauge released yesterday showed
the decline reflected a year-on-year decline of -5.2 percent growth
in the average pricing of residential properties.
Residential property prices last saw a brief decline of -2.5 percent
in June 2000.
But, the bank said, the market was simply correcting itself.
Sizwe Nxedlana, an economist at Standard Bank, said the residential
property market was going through a period of softer pricing conditions,
with a substantial decline in demand for properties.
Nxedlana said that data from the South African Reserve Bank on new mortgages
granted and re-advances showed that after peaking at R40-billion in
June 2007, the market had halved to about R20- billion.
He said: The reduction in demand in turn is due to substantial
reduction in affordability brought on by inflation, which is eroding
household disposable incomes.
Higher interest rates lead to higher installment payments,
and the fact that property prices have also gone up since 2004 have
made residential property too expensive.
Affordability seems to have deteriorated even in a declining
interest rate environment between 2004 and 2006.
Nxedlana said that the latest bout of tighter monetary policy had lowered
the affordability of houses. Between 2004 and 2006, the increase in
house prices had exceeded the growth of household incomes, he added.
As a result, we are seeing a sharp falling off in house
price growth as a healthy correction in house prices to levels more
in line with fundamental drivers such as employment and improved incomes,
and SAs GDP growth.
In the short term it seems that property prices could continue
to record low growth until the South African economy begins to improve
again, Nxedlana said.

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